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11 November 2009
Why we’re still confident about the Thames Gateway
The Thames Gateway is the number one regeneration project in the UK and probably in Europe too, and therefore it is very important not just to London and the South East, but nationally too. However the biggest constraint to progress currently in the Gateway is the state of the housing market.
Developers will not start projects unless they can be sure of sales. Many sites are large and complex and are burdened with large upfront capital costs and this is all the more reason why developers and investors will think twice before commencing a project. Therefore many schemes in the Gateway won’t get underway until market conditions improve. Most of those projects that are in progress have been slowed down to reflect current sales rates and that is certainly true of our schemes in the Gateway.
The benefit of Kickstart
Some projects are being helped by the government through the HCA and others where they are prepared to bear some of the upfront risks and indeed such intervention is often welcome. Initiatives such as Kickstart, where phase one of funding is now complete, are very welcome and it is beneficial to everyone who’s concerned with keeping new housing supply moving. I was pleased therefore to see HCA Director, David Edward’s recent comments in Building about their continued commitment to the Gateway.
Confidence in the Gateway
I regard the current setback in the Thames Gateway as being relatively short-term. My confidence in the Gateway has not waned and the long-term prospects are still very good.
Whilst we are experiencing this period of slowdown we can nevertheless continue with the preparatory works and then developers will be ready to go once sales prospects improve. Considerable emphasis therefore needs to be placed by public sector bodies on important infrastructure works such as highways investment around Ebbsfleet Valley. Such preparatory work should be progressed now rather than waiting until development programmes can be speeded up.
Learning the lessons
There will no doubt be a number of schemes that will have to be planned rather differently. Lessons learnt from recent years include the fact that too many schemes have been designed to too high a density with a predominance of flats. My concern has always been that this is not conducive to the creation of sustainable communities the success of which, from a social viewpoint, requires a balanced mix of house types and tenures creating a broad spectrum of price ranges and buying options. All stakeholders will need to be very conscious of this issue.
The move away from mono housing types is all to the good, I believe, and from it we’ll get more balanced and superior development solutions. The lessons learnt in recent years must not be forgotten in planning future schemes.
Sustainable solutions
The current pause also gives developers and others time to think how best to include environmental objectives into future schemes. The regulatory demands have of course not gone away in the recession. We need to research how we can best achieve more sustainable developments and move forward with solutions that will have a lasting and positive impact, rather than a potential maintenance nightmare if we do not use proven systems.
Need for public/private partnerships
It is inevitable in my opinion that there will need to be more private and public sector partnering arrangements in place in the future. This will be necessary as funding for development won’t be as readily available as in past years. Banks and funders generally will be more cautious and new funding methods will have to be seriously considered as Savills Research has recently pointed out. This is why I believe public/private partnerships will be the most appropriate way for development programmes to be enhanced in the future.
The key constraint
Funding for homebuyers continues to be the most major constraint in selling homes. Many people who want to buy simply can’t. Hopefully the strict lending criteria will ease a little, but it will not return to the sort of free and easy mortgage funding that has caused some of our recent problems.
Meeting the vision
The Thames Gateway will no doubt make a significant contribution to housing supply in London and the South East of England and where it not to happen it would bring about much greater pressure for development in these regions. We must therefore work with renewed vigour to ensure the vision and the objectives for the Gateway are met.
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10 July 2009
Why we’re in denial over housing supply
I’ve been reading with great interest the National Housing and Planning Advice Unit’s (NHPAU) report and research into the public's attitudes to housing, and the affordability problem in England. They highlight the imperative of having sufficient homes to meet demand.
The NHPAU states quite rightly that attitudes to new housing development need to change as a matter of urgency. In their research 51 per cent of homeowners would oppose more homes being built in their area, compared with 31 per cent of non-homeowners! So we’re in denial at a time when 6 million young people will not be able to get on the housing ladder until prices fall to more affordable levels and they have realistic access to a mortgage.
As I‘ve said in recent blog posts recessions do not impact on the number of people wanting a home, but they do cause a sharp drop in the number being built. All this serves to exacerbate a growing problem of the mismatch between supply and demand.
The NHPAU’s report states that, “the evidence is clear: we need to take some major steps to close the gap between supply and demand or the consequences for individuals and families will become increasingly severe, with wider economic and social impacts. We need to move the debate on from whether there is a problem… to how we can plan for the homes we clearly need in a way that will benefit existing communities and protect the environment."
What are the consequences of not enough housing being built? More people will be homeless or live in overcrowded conditions, more young people will be forced to continue living with their parents, and the aspirations of millions to live in the type of homes they want, where they want, will be frustrated. This lack of people mobility will impact upon the wider economy.
In some respects the whole issue of housing is being buried underneath the recession, but the housing problem will be here long after the recession has passed. Therefore, current and future Governments need to create robust policies that will improve Britain’s housing supply. This is of course not as simple as it sounds.
What we don’t need however is knee jerk responses that will create mono-tenure estates of affordable and council housing that have no regard for creating sustainable communities and which would, if built, create a legacy of social problems.
As I said in my last blog we have got to address the issue of development finance if we are going to be able to increase housing supply. Bank loans may not be as readily available in the future as they have been in the past. So how the development industry is going to be financed in the future has got to be addressed.
I also can’t help but to think of the planning situation. It is very slow to respond and the process takes an incredible length of time compared with the past. Government has tried to improve it without much success, but the Conservative’s proposals are going to make the situation worse by delaying the system further.
I welcome the Government’s additional funding for housing that was announced recently and particularly the additional £500m of Kickstart support that will enable more developments to move forward. However, the funding is still relatively modest when considered against the size of the problem.
Shared equity schemes, such as the HCA’s HomeBuy Direct and the First Time Buyer’s Initiative, are helpful in enabling more people to be able to buy a home they want. Hundreds of people are now enjoying a new Countryside Properties’ home as a result, but more needs to be done on a grander scale and we need to make these schemes easier to access and understand.
We have recently launched a new video which highlights our unique approach to development. I hope you enjoy it.
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10 February 2009
The impact of recession on regeneration and sustainability
I have been reading with interest in the last few days the Parkinson Report on the impact of the credit crunch on regeneration, the housing market and commercial property. It is so disappointing that regeneration and sustainable development, which have really progressed in the last few years, are being slowed down and in some cases halted due to the recession.
Regeneration has made a real difference across the country in the past decade since the Urban Task Force Report and its recommendations were published. Many of our towns and cities have benefited considerably from regeneration projects, but there is still much to be done. Sustainability will also continue to feature as an important issue, but progress is likely to be affected.
The problem is that the significant downturn in the housing and property markets has resulted in lower prices because of fewer buyers and an overall lack of confidence. Many developments which have been programmed to start are unable to proceed often due to a lack of funding. As a result of the credit crunch, lenders are generally short of funds and are also lacking in confidence. If they are lending at all they will only lend on much stricter criteria which can often be to the detriment of urban regeneration schemes in particular.
Some people will be pushing to continue with the development of affordable housing where it is largely being paid for by Government funding. However, my concern is that affordable housing should be part of mixed-tenure projects as this is very important in creating sustainable communities. If affordable housing is built separately from private housing it could lead to mono-tenure estates with adverse social consequences.
We are currently seeking ways and means of enabling regeneration projects to take proceed where we are able to secure financial support from the Government through its Homes and Communities Agency (HCA). I believe the HCA can play a very important role during these difficult times. It is also essential that Local Authorities and RSLs work in partnership with private sector developers to find ways to enable projects to start rather than being held over until the recession ends.
I will post part two of this blog shortly.
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24 October 2008
Design, place making and the Stirling Prize
What is good design? For me it is what is preferred by the majority of people rather than the elite minority. There are some new home developers including my own company who do give significant attention to design. Architecture isn’t just about the buildings, important as they are, it’s about sustainability, about creating places that people will enjoy and it’s very much concerned with creating sustainable communities that will stand the test of time.
We are delighted that our Cambridge development, Accordia, has just won the UK’s premier architectural prize, the RIBA Stirling Prize. This is of course testament to the design skills of the architects that we employed, but it is also an award for our vision in developing the brief and having the dedication to implement it. Accordia is a community that will prevail and the elite minority, the judges, awarded the prize because they could see the quality of the place making concept that we conceived and worked up with the architects would work well and be attractive to the majority. We see the award of the Stirling Prize, to a housing project for the very first time, as a historic success that brings long overdue recognition of what we have been achieving for a number of years in many other places.
As a society we have many concerns about our living environments and Accordia addresses many of these concerns. I have mentioned place making already but this term should also include the long-term management. If this is not taken into account communities will not look good within a few years of them being built. Place making also has to be inclusive and accommodate the interests of all the residents. In particular children as well as youths are often forgotten in the process. We must not forget that children also have a democratic right to space. Accordia achieves this brilliantly.
Design and layout has got to be taken into account in creating sustainable communities with the range of housing sizes and tenures that is needed to ensure social sustainability. So we need to accommodate one and two person households, families and the elderly, and both those who can afford to buy and those who cannot. Mixed-tenure housing and the way in which housing is integrated is very important in creating sustainable communities. We don’t want the segregation between the ‘haves’ and ‘have-nots’ that created so many problems in the past.
Communities need schools, as well as community and recreational facilities. As well as creating these facilities we also need to ensure places in themselves are attractive. Landscaping is important – people enjoy living in green environments that bring people together to create a sense of community. Fundamentally they are nicer places to live.
Our society is becoming increasingly concerned with the energy efficiency agenda so homes must be more energy and water efficient and use eco-friendly building materials. Wherever we can we need to include eco parks, as well as parks where people can play. Moving on from Accordia, the new play environment at Great Notley in Braintree, another of our new community projects has dramatically increased the amount of people who are visiting and enjoying the country park which was created as part of the development.
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Information correct as at 22/06/2010